Friday, 27 September 2013

Using trendlines


Trendlines offer a great way to draw lines of support or resistance.

The red (falling) trendline shows resistance and a break out of this is a good reason to buy.
Similarly, the blue (rising) trendline offers support and a break of this is an indication to book some profits.
Incidentally, some stocks tend to have very clear trendlines while some, either because of volatility (or poor liquidity) have extreme spikes which complicates task of drawing trendlines.

Thursday, 26 September 2013

Support and Resistance


What is support

Support is the price level at which demand is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. The logic dictates that as the price declines towards support and gets cheaper, buyers become more inclined to buy and sellers become less inclined to sell. By the time the price reaches the support level, it is believed that demand will overcome supply and prevent the price from falling below support.
Support does not always hold and a break below support signals that the bears have won out over the bulls. A decline below support indicates a new willingness to sell and/or a lack of incentive to buy. Support breaks and new lows signal that sellers have reduced their expectations and are willing sell at even lower prices. In addition, buyers could not be coerced into buying until prices declined below support or below the previous low. Once support is broken, another support level will have to be established at a lower level.

What is resistance

Resistance is the price level at which selling is thought to be strong enough to prevent the price from rising further. The logic dictates that as the price advances towards resistance, sellers become more inclined to sell and buyers become less inclined to buy. By the time the price reaches the resistance level, it is believed that supply will overcome demand and prevent the price from rising above resistance.
Resistance does not always hold and a break above resistance signals that the bulls have won out over the bears. A break above resistance shows a new willingness to buy and/or a lack of incentive to sell. Resistance breaks and new highs indicate buyers have increased their expectations and are willing to buy at even higher prices. In addition, sellers could not be coerced into selling until prices rose above resistance or above the previous high. Once resistance is broken, another resistance level will have to be established at a higher level.



Support becomes resistance (and vice versa)

Another principle of technical analysis stipulates that support can turn into resistance and visa versa. Once the price breaks below a support level, the broken support level can turn into resistance. The break of support signals that the forces of supply have overcome the forces of demand. Therefore, if the price returns to this level, there is likely to be an increase in supply, and hence resistance.
The other turn of the coin is resistance turning into support. As the price advances above resistance, it signals changes in supply and demand. The breakout above resistance proves that the forces of demand have overwhelmed the forces of supply. If the price returns to this level, there is likely to be an increase in demand and support will be found.



Conclusion

Identification of key support and resistance levels is an essential ingredient to successful technical analysis. Even though it is sometimes difficult to establish exact support and resistance levels, being aware of their existence and location can greatly enhance analysis and forecasting abilities. If a security is approaching an important support level, it can serve as an alert to be extra vigilant in looking for signs of increased buying pressure and a potential reversal. If a security is approaching a resistance level, it can act as an alert to look for signs of increased selling pressure and potential reversal. If a support or resistance level is broken, it signals that the relationship between supply and demand has changed. A resistance breakout signals that demand (bulls) has gained the upper hand and a support break signals that supply (bears) has won the battle.

The Elliot Wave theory


Elliot discovered that the ever-changing path of stock market prices reveals a structural design that in turn reflects a basic harmony found in nature. From this discovery, he developed a rational system of market analysis.
Under the Wave Principle, every market decision is both produced by meaningful information and produces meaningful information. Each transaction, while at once an effect, enters the fabric of the market and, by communicating transactional data to investors, joins the chain of causes of others’ behavior. This feedback loop is governed by man’s social nature, and since he has such a nature, the process generates forms. As the forms are repetitive, they have predictive value.

Wave Patterns

In markets, progress ultimately takes the form of five waves of a specific structure. Three of these waves, which are labeled 1, 3 and 5, actually effect the directional movement. They are separated by two countertrend interruptions, which are labeled 2 and 4. The two interruptions are apparently a requisite for overall directional movement to occur.
At any time, the market may be identified as being somewhere in the basic five wave pattern at the largest degree of trend. Because the five wave pattern is the overriding form of market progress, all other patterns are subsumed by it.
The 5 wave pattern is often followed by 3 corrective waves labelled as A-B-C.


Wave Mode

There are two modes of wave development: impulsive and corrective. Impulsive waves have a five wave structure, while corrective waves have a three wave structure or a variation thereof. Impulsive mode is employed by both the five wave pattern and its same-directional components, i.e., waves 1, 3 and 5. Their structures are called “impulsive” because they powerfully impel the market. Corrective mode is employed by all countertrend interruptions, which include waves 2 and 4. Their structures are called “corrective” because they can accomplish only a partial retracement, or “correction,” of the progress achieved by any preceding impulsive wave. Thus, the two modes are fundamentally different, both in their roles and in their construction, as will be detailed in an upcoming section.

Wave subdivision

Waves can be repeatedly subdivided into lower degrees as follows:


Some observations

  • Wave 4 never overlaps or enters the area of wave 1. An overlap means one shd consider the possibility of A-B-C corrective
  • An exception to the above is a 5th wave ending diagonal
  • Wave 3 is never the shortest.
  • Wave 3 & 5 are related to wave 1 by a Fibonacci ratio (equality or 1.618 or 2.618)
  • In any corrective, wave C is related to wave A by a Fibonacci ratio (equality or 1.618 or 2.618)
  • In any corrective, wave B is related to wave A by a Fibonacci ratio (0.618 or equality)
  • Compared to impulses, correctives are difficult to trade. There are more than 23 types of patterns. Sometimes the best thing to do is let the market make up its mind and then decide what to do.
  • In an impulse, it is common for a wave 3 or wave 5 to extend.
  • Any correction following a 5th wave extension will typically end at wave 2 of the extension
  • Alternation: if wave 2 is a sideways correction, wave 4 will be fast/ straight/ swift (and vice versa).
  • Waves are fractal and principles apply across all time frames. A 1-2-3-4-5 impulse could be a part of larger A which in turn can be a part of a larger 1

Wednesday, 25 September 2013

Trading tips

Follow the trend for profitable investing
  • The trend is your friend. Always trade in the direction of the trend
  • Add more positions only if current position is profitable
  • Never buy or sell just because the price is low or high
  • Never average a loss or hedge a losing position
  • Always use stop loss orders. Never cancel a stop loss after you have placed it
  • When in doubt, get out, and don't get in when in doubt
  • Be willing to make money from both sides of the market
  • Never change your position without a good reason
  • Avoid trading after long periods of success or failure
  • Don't try to guess OR time the tops or bottoms. It never works!
When you lose, don't blame your luck!

Why trade the nifty

If you really want to earn money in the stock market, then don't deal in stocks - trade the nifty.
For all the technical analysis I do, I rarely trade in stocks...I trade the nifty.
Years of trading experience has taught me one simple thing...it is far easier to take a directional call on the broader market than individual stocks. If the economy is doing well, the market (nifty) will anyway do well (and vice versa).
Stock movements tend to cyclical, news driven or rangebound for considerable periods of time. Not only do you have to identify the sector correctly, you should also be able to pick the right stock. And then there is this possibility - everything else rallies except what you have bought.
From a fundamental perspective, this means you don't have to worry about crude oil, interest rates, FII inflows (or outflows), quarterly results, sectors, analysts talk and whatever you can think of.
Some advantages of trading the nifty:
  • Index is the barometer of the stock market. If the market does well, Nifty will anyway rise (and vice versa)
  • All FIIs and Mutual funds have an exposure on index and index stocks
  • All good and bad news is reflected in index (nifty)
  • You can play both sides of the market and profit from rallies as well as corrections
  • You can daytrade in nifty (not recommended) or carry forward positions till expiry
  • Low brokerage / nil demat costs
  • Excellent liquidity: The daily turnover of nifty futures and options is 2-3 times that of ALL stocks traded on BSE.
  • Low volatility: no wild swings. Because the nifty index is made of 50 stocks, it is always less volatile than the individual stocks. Check latest volatility statistics.
  • Low investment: as nifty is least volatile, NSE margins are lowest. This reduces investment amount substantially.

Trading strategies

Trend
Action
Inv. Amt
Profits
Bullish Buy futures
Rs.35000/-
Profits increase as index rises (and vice versa)
Buy call options
Rs.10000/-
Substantial profits if index rises (loss limited to inv. amt.)
Write put options
Rs.35000/-
Profits limited to premium (risk of substantial losses)
Bearish Sell futures
Rs.35000/-
Profits increase as index falls (and vice versa)
Buy put options
Rs.10000/-
Substantial profits if index falls (loss limited to inv. amt.)
Write call options
Rs.35000/-
Profits limited to premium (risk of substantial losses)
Time decay in options: If index remains unchanged, the option premium will decrease and become nil on expiry. Here, the option buyer has lost his money and the option writer has profited.

Is there any catch?

Nifty futures and options being derivatives, have an expiry period (the last Thursday of every month). You cannot take "delivery" and hold positions indefinitely the way one can do with stocks.
You can however exit a position any time you feel like...same day, same week, etc. So you can daytrade or carry forward positions till expiry date.
With stocks, you can take delivery and hold positions indefinitely. Very often, this is how traders become investors and short term investors become long term investors!
Futures trading is a leveraged transaction. In case of Nifty, every 1% change leads to 8% change in your profit (or loss). So while you can earn fantastic profits, you can also lose money.
Options trading is tricky. For buyers, investment is less and profits unlimited. But the real profit depends on the option bought, days left to expiry, implied volatility and how fast the underlying moves. The time decay can knock off your entire investment. But if you follow the trend and always buy in-the-money options, then you need not worry. Most retail investors lose money because (a) they trade against the trend and (b) they have absolutely no idea about option pricing.
One can earn 100% or sometimes even 200% return in a month (buying option). On the other hand, a wrong trade can reduce capital.
Transaction costs (brokerage) is not an issue as we are not looking at intraday trades. Since positions are carried forward for many days, this really does not matter.
Rangebound markets are a problem as technically there is no way to predetermine this situation. Unfortunately there is no solution here and one has to live with this. Fortunately nifty seldom trades in a range.
Summary: Irrespective of what you trade in - stocks, futures or options, you will earn money only if you follow the trend. If you trade against the trend, you are almost sure to lose money. So the problem is not with the instrument but with the trading style.

Tuesday, 24 September 2013

Mortgage Rates 9/24/13 September 24, 2013

By Tim - http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com - @stockstobuy -

Home Mortgage Interest Rates - September 24, 2013

Interest rates have been rising in September 2013. Below is list of Today's Mortgage Rates from Wells Fargo.

Loan Type - Interest Rate - APR - 9/24/13

30-Year Fixed 4.500% 4.673%
30-Year Fixed FHA 4.250% 5.766%
15-Year Fixed 3.500% 3.795%
5-Year ARM 3.250% 3.164%
5-Year ARM FHA 3.625% 4.074%

Jumbo Loan Rates - APR - 9/24/13

30-Year Fixed 4.125% 4.237%
5-Year ARM 2.500% 2.850%


Past Rates - Click Here

For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com

1 and 3 Month Libor Rates 9/24/13 September 24, 2013

By Tim - http://stockstobuy.org - @Stockstobuy -

It seems as though everyone is watching Libor rates these days. Today's Libor Rates for 9/24/13 are: 1 Month Libor Rate - 0.17885% & 3 Month Libor Rate - 0.25060. The overnight Libor rate is 0.11140%. As you can see, Libor Rates changed today, September 24, 2013.

Here are Previous Libor rates. You can also compare Libor Rates to how the Dow Jones trades.

For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com/

Monday, 23 September 2013

Best Stocks 2014

Below is a list of the best stocks for 2014.  These hot stocks are breaking out to the upside and continue to provide excellent trading opportunities in 2014.  Follow me on Twitter for the hottest stock news or join my stock picks group to follow my trades.  For more information in the top stocks in 2014, visit these links - Stocks 2014 - Top Penny Stocks 2014 - Stocks to Buy 2014

Best Stocks in 2014

Yelp (YELP) - Right now I currently have a $105 price target for Yelp stock in 2014.  Currently trading at $65, I think YELP is set to rise by 70% to at least $105 by the end of 2014.  If the company turns profitable earlier, we could see the stock more than double.  Keep YELP on your radar in 2014.

Noodles & Company (NDLS) - Right now NDLS is trading around $43 per share.  I see massive growth ahead for this company and the stock hitting $60-$65 in 2014.  Expect 35-40 new restaurant openings during the year.

Restoration Hardware (RH) - Restoration Hardware (RH) is a stock I like in 2014.  RH is one of the best growth stocks for 2014 in the retail sector.  Currently trading at $62, I think Restoration Hardware can hit $85 in 2014.







Dow Jones Close 9/23/13 Stock Market Closing Prices

By Tim - http://stockstobuy.org - Twitter @stockstobuy -

Stock Market Closing Prices - 9/23/13

Dow Jones Industrial Average ( DJIA ) Close - 15401.38 Down 49.71
Nasdaq Stock Market Close - 3765.29 Down 9.44
S&P 500 Close - 1701.84 Down 8.07

http://dowjonesclose.com

Commodities Closing Prices - 9/23/13

Gold Close - 1323
Silver Close - 21.67
Oil Close - 103.56
Natural Gas Close - 3.59

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 15401 on 9/23/13, as the stock market dropped again.  We have now given back all of the Fed announcement gains.  Apple (AAPL) reported 9 million iPhones sold in the first weekend and the stock is back testing $500.   Keep an eye on the COVS IPO this week.  We will be watching this closely in the stock picks group.

As of the close today, Widepoint (WYY) is the top penny stock gainer of 2013
As of the close today, Zhone Technologies (ZHNE) is the top stock gainer of 2013 above $2




For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com/

A drift lower today as we did not get the opposite price movement from Fridays expiration.  The Dow fell 50 points on light volume.  The advance/declines were negative.  I don't know where the next catalyst for the stock indices will come from.  Not a lot of economic data out this week.  The summation index continues to the upside.  The short term technicals for the market are still overbought, even with 3 days down in a row.  Not much to go on here but a continued rollover would not be a surprise.  GE gained 1/4 on OK volume.  Perhaps GE is signaling stable prices to come but it could simply have benefited today from a positive article in Barrons over the weekend.  Gold fell 5 bucks on the futures while the US dollar was a bit higher.  The XAU dropped 1 2/3 and looks like it is breaking the up trend line that started in July.  More negative action tomorrow would confirm this.  ABX, GG and NEM all lost around 1/4 or so on light volume.  My October ABX calls have lost half of their value.  I may not be able to wait this week out.  Perhaps I'll dump them tomorrow.  It looks like another trade gone wrong.  That has been the story for me all year so far.  Mentally I'm feeling OK.  Some profit taking is to be expected in the stock indexes after the nice run to new highs.  Whether it turns into something else remains to be seen.  All signs seem to be pointing to even higher prices going forward.  If the gold shares don't show some upside soon we could be heading back down to test the lows of June.  The fact that we could not even hold the gains of last Wednesday is bearish.  It looks like another losing trade for me.  We'll keep an eye on what happens overnight and take it from there.

How to Buy Stocks Putting Up Only 1% (No it's not the futures market, it's stocks)

Generally when you invest in stocks on margin, you normally have to put up 50% of the value of the stock, and you have a maintenance requirement of 30%. However, how would you like to have a margin requirement of only 1%, yes one percent! Think of the leverage you would have. Risks? I'll talk about risks in a minute.

This has nothing to do with the futures market, it is entirely legal, and it is offered by a major US investment brokerage firm.  Here are the details.

TDAmeritrade has now come up with something called Portfolio Margin for certain clients, which looks at the whole portfolio instead of individual stocks and options. Let's look at how this would work. This example is similar to what was shown in a write-up in an email flyer from TDAmeritrade.

Let's say you own 100 shares of a $100 stock for a total of $10,000 and a put on that stock with a strike price of 100 and a cost of 1 (or $100). Initially, you would put up $5,100. To maintain the position, you would need to have $3,000 or 30%. However, under this new Portfolio Margin Requirement, the maintenance amount would only be $100.

But wait a minute, you might say; what about the risk to both you and the brokerage firm? In actuality, your total risk is only $100. Let's examine what would happen in three scenarios.


  • The stock drops to $80 a share. You lose $2000 on the stock but make $2000 on the put (actually a profit of $1900 on the put for a net loss of only $100)
  • The stock does nothing. You make nothing on the stock and lose $100 on the put, for a net loss of only $100.
  • The stock goes to $120. You make $2000 on the stock, and lose $100 on the put, for a net profit of $1900.

    So there you have it. Maximum total loss of only $100 and unlimited upside potential. This frees up a lot of cash in your portfolio and provides you with a huge amount of leverage.

    I see only one major risk with the Portfolio Margin program from TDAmeritrade. If the put is very close to expiration, and you haven't made provisions to roll it over, and something happens to you where you are incapacitated and unable to access your account prior to the put expiring, you could have some major problems. Also, keep in mind that the higher the leverage, the more margin interest you would have to pay.

    By Stockerblog.com
  • How to Buy Stocks Without Paying a Commission: 10 Different Ways

    Back in the old days, commissions were pretty substantial. Some brokerage firms had minimum commissions of $35 per trade and some were much higher. And if you bought a low priced stock, you really got screwed.

    I remember back when I was a stockbroker before the discount traders came along, if a client bought 10 shares of a $100 stock, they would 'only' pay $35, in other words 3.5%. However, for that same $1,000, if the client bought 1000 shares of a $1 stock, the commission would be a whopping $100 or 10%. (We really enjoyed those trades when they came in, but we couldn't solicit them.)

    Now, even paying $7.99, $8.99, or $9.99 per trade, which is a huge savings over the historical commissions, the costs can still add up. Let's use $10 per trade to make it simple. If you do two trades a day, that's $400 a month that you have to earn in your account just to break even.

    But there are various ways of buying stocks without paying a commission. Many of these techniques are more appropriate for the longer term investor as opposed to the trader. Here they are:

    1. IPOs

    Whether you call them Initial Public Offerings, IPOs or New Issues, they are basically shares of stock that are sold to the public for the first time. When these shares are issued, there is no added commission. The trick is to be able to get shares from your broker for hot issues. I have some friends (with accounts in the $100,000 and up range) that have been able to get shares of popular IPOs but usually in amounts ranging from 100 shares to 400 shares, and sometimes as low as 10 shares.

    2. Secondary Offerings
    Secondary offerings are shares that are issued by a company that is already publicly traded. These could be shares being sold by large investors or institutions or they could be newly issued shares where the cash goes right to the company, or a combination of both. A company could issue new shares several different times but it would still be referred to as a secondary offering. Usually the shares are priced at around the closing price of the stock, but sometimes slightly lower or higher. In any case, there is no added commission to purchase the shares.

    3. ETFs
    Several online brokers, including Vanguard, Fidelity, and TDAmeritrade, will allow you to trade ETFs with no commissions. However, there are generally restrictions on trading these, usually relating to holding periods.

    4. No Load Mutual Funds
    If you are considering investing in a mutual fund, pick a no load fund. There are thousands of mutual funds to choose from, covering every sector, every industry, every index, and every style of investing. Why pay loads of 3% to 8% when you can get a no load? 

    5. Dividend Reinvestments (DRIPs)
     Dividend Reinvestment Plans are arrangements whereby the dividends from an income producing stock are automatically reinvested back into shares of the same company. On almost all of these plans, the dividends are reinvested free of fees and commissions. If you need a list of these companies that offer these plans, you can check out The Moneypaper's DirectInvestment.com and DRIPInvestor.

    6. Direct Stock Purchase Plans (DPPs or DSPPs)
    For smaller investors investing money on a long term basis, Direct Purchase Plans, also know as Direct Stock Purchase Plans, may be worth looking into. Basically, the plan allows you to invest almost any amount of money into a stock without any fee or commission in many cases. I'm talking about lesser known stocks and major stocks; companies such as Abbott Labs (ABT), American Electric Power (AEP), Exxon Mobile (XOM), and Johnson and Johnson (JNJ). Let's use Exxon Mobil as an example. You can invest as little as $50 each time or as much as $250,000. Suppose you just want to invest $50 in the stock every few months. Using a Direct Purchase Plan, there would be no commission. If you did it through an online broker and paid a $10 commission, it would work out to 20% of your investment, and that's assuming your broker would even allow you to buy a partial share.
    There is a small catch, however. In order to take advantage of most of these plans, you must own at least one share of the stock to begin with (which happens to be what the requirement is for Exxon Mobil). The Moneypaper, described in the previous section, has a service that allows you to buy an initial share or shares to get you started.

    7. Special Offers from Online Brokers
    Keep an eye out for special offers from online brokers. I try to cover them when I see them. For example, both TDAmeritrade (unlimited trading for 60 days) and E*Trade (500 free trades) are offering commission-free specials.

    8. Stocks Sold Out of Inventory or from a Market Maker
    This is an option that used to be available from smaller brokerage firms which would buy shares of over-the-counter stocks into inventory or would be market makers in the stocks. Often they would be able to sell the shares at what would be a 'net' price, in other words, without an added commission. These shares would often be local bank stocks that were not widely traded. So for example, if XYZ Bank was trading at 9 bid, 10 asked, you could buy the shares from the firm without paying a commission at 10 per share. However, if you bought the shares from another brokerage firm, you would pay 10 per share plus commission. I'm not sure if these deals are still available but if you work with a smaller brokerage firm, you could check with them.

    9. Merrill Edge
    Merrill Edge is offering 30 free online trades per month, including equity and ETF trades. The catch is that you have to have a balance of $25,000 in your Bank of America deposit accounts, or have $25,000 in cash in your Merrill Edge self-directed accounts, or maintain Platinum Privileges status.

    10. Reimbursements from Brokerage Firm
    If your online broker makes a mistake or if their service is down for a while, preventing you from trading, ask for some free trades as compensation. I recently had an issue with a broker where I placed an order through their phone app to sell out of my position and it ended up selling a security in my account that I didn't even own. All I did was click on the position, clicked Close, left it on Market Order, and clicked Submit. I caught it right away, called them, they corrected the order and they even offered me five commission-free trades as compensation.

    11. Running Ads to Buy Stocks [Bonus Technique]
    I know the title said '10 Ways' but I thought I would include this bonus technique because it is an interesting one. Let me start out by saying that before you even consider this, talk it over with an attorney, as there may be some SEC issues involved. Basically, this involves advertising to buy shares of stock in certificate form from other investors. I know of an individual who did this by advertising in certain classified ads, and a small company that did this using postcard mailers.
    The hook for the sellers to the individual was that he would buy stock in quantities as few as one share at the closing price on a mutually determined day, and the seller wouldn't have to pay a commission. For a five or ten dollar stock, it was a great deal.  He told me that he made a lot of purchases from people who bought one or a few shares for a dividend reinvestment and/or direct purchase plan that they had started years earlier that they gave up on.
    The hook for the sellers to the organization was that they would buy shares of stock in certificate form that were no longer trading in order to allow the sellers to establish a tax loss. This organization would charge a 'small fee' to handle the transaction, which would be more than the purchase price for the shares. In other words, they would pay a penny a share for 100 shares or one dollar, and charge a $20 fee, making $19 on the deal.

    When you look at all these different ways, you may just decide that it is much easier and simpler to just pay the ten buck commission to buy the stock.

    By Stockerblog.com

    Mortgage Rates 9/23/13 September 23, 2013

    By Tim - http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com - @stockstobuy -

    Home Mortgage Interest Rates - September 23, 2013

    Interest rates have been rising in September 2013. Below is list of Today's Mortgage Rates from Wells Fargo.

    Loan Type - Interest Rate - APR - 9/23/13

    30-Year Fixed 4.500% 4.673%
    30-Year Fixed FHA 4.250% 5.766%
    15-Year Fixed 3.625% 3.921%
    5-Year ARM 3.250% 3.164%
    5-Year ARM FHA 3.625% 4.074%

    Jumbo Loan Rates - APR - 9/23/13

    30-Year Fixed 4.250% 4.363%
    5-Year ARM 2.625% 2.893%


    Past Rates - Click Here

    For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com

    1 and 3 Month Libor Rates 9/23/13 September 23, 2013

    By Tim - http://stockstobuy.org - @Stockstobuy -

    It seems as though everyone is watching Libor rates these days. Today's Libor Rates for 9/23/13 are: 1 Month Libor Rate - 0.17885% & 3 Month Libor Rate - 0.25060%. The overnight Libor rate is 0.11140%. As you can see, Libor Rates changed today, September 23, 2013.

    Here are Previous Libor rates. You can also compare Libor Rates to how the Dow Jones trades.

    For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com/

    Sunday, 22 September 2013

    TD Ameritrade is Offering Commission-Free Trading

    If you are looking for a way to get free trades, you can get 60 days of no commission trading with TDAmeritrade (AMTD). And if you put $25,000 into your account, they will throw in an additional $100. If you invest more, they will give you up to $600.



    Going To Be in NYC in the Next Couple Months? Check Out the Museum of American Finance

    Next time you visit New York City, or even if you live in New York City, you should check out the Museum of American Finance, located in the Wall Street area at 48 Wall Street. The museum itself is fascinating with great historical information about the stock market, plus it holds lots of events.

    Here is what is upcoming:

    Walking Tour: Women of Wall Street
    Wednesday, October 2, 2013 - 11:00 AM
    Discover the female power brokers who have shaped the history of Wall Street in this 90-minute walking tour of the Financial District.

    Wall Street Coin, Currency and Collectibles Show
    Thursday, October 17, 2013 - 12:00 PM
    The annual Wall Street Coin, Currency and Collectibles Show(formerly the Wall Street Bourse) will take place at the Museum from October 17 through 19, 2013. Admission to the Museum is FREE throughout the event.

    Consuelo Mack WealthTrack Taping with Live Audience
    Thursday, October 17, 2013 - 05:15 PM
    Join us for a taping of public television's "Consuelo Mack WealthTrack," followed by audience Q&A. This event is free, but space is limited.

    The Role of Natural Gas in America's Energy and Economic Future
    Tuesday, October 29, 2013 - 05:30 PM
    Co-presented by the Museum of American Finance and the Sierra Club and moderated by Theodore Roosevelt IV, this event promises to be a rich discussion on the role of natural gas in America’s energy future. We will look at the many arguments for and against natural gas fracking and production, distribution and usage, as well as the implications of fracking on our economic future, public health, environment and the climate.

    Annual Great Crashes Walking Tour
    Saturday, November 2, 2013 - 01:00 PM
    Relive the Great Crash of 1929 on the Museum's annual crash-themed walking tour of Lower Manhattan.

    For more information, go to MOAF.


    Saturday, 21 September 2013

    Will Halloween Help Chocolate and Candy Stocks?

    In about a month, trick-or-treaters will be knocking on your door, asking for candy. Stores will be stocked with confectionery offerings, everything from M&M's to Snickers Bars, to Starbursts to Chocolate Hershey Kisses. A dentist's delight! Well, from a health standpoint, all candy isn't all bad. Chocolate has plenty of health benefits. So can these candy and chocolate companies benefit your stock portfolio?

    WallStreetNewsNetwork.com has a free list of candy and chocolate companies, with a listing of a dozen stocks. Hershey Foods (HSY) is the large chocolate and confectionery company which is known for its Hershey Bars and Kisses. The stock sports a trailing price to earnings ratio of 29, and a forward P/E ratio of 23. The stock provide a favorable yield of 2.1%. Latest quarterly earnings were reported up 17.6% on a 6.7% boost in revenues.

    Tootsie Roll Industries (TR) is a producer of many types of candy for trick-or-treaters including Tootsie Rolls, Tootsie Roll Pops, Caramel Apple Pops, Charms, Blow-Pops, Blue Razz, Zip-A-Dee Pops, Cella's, Mason Dots, Mason Crows, Junior Mint, Charleston Chew, Sugar Daddys, and Sugar Babies. The stock trades at 36 times earnings and pays a yield of 1.0%. Although quarterly revenues were down slightly, earnings rose by 11.4%.

    Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory (RMCF) is a confectionery manufacturer based in Durango, Colorado. The company makes such candies as clusters, caramels, creams, mints, and truffles. The stock trades at 48 times trailing earnings and 16 times forward earnings. The yield is a substantial 3.5%. Earnings spiked 11% on a boost of 5.4% in sales.

    More candy and chocolate stock can be found at WallStreetNewsNetwork.com, which also includes the stock symbol, the P/E ratio, the yield, and the products.

    Chocolate.com


    Disclosure: Author did not own any of the above at the time the article was written.

    By Stockerblog.com

    Welcome to the New Appearance for Stockerblog.com

    This is the first post with the new interface for Stockerblog.com. No more folksy style with the parchment-like background. The following is a screen shot of the old one.

    Several readers mentioned that the old style was hard to read so I have updated it with a more modern professional appearance, and lots of additional features, such as business news, a list of the most popular recent posts, a list of interesting links, and for our viewers outside the US, a translation button.

    Hope you like it and if you have suggestions for improvement, let us know.

    Stocks that Own the Highest Priced Domain Names

    A domain name, or domain for short, is what you type in the web address bar at the top of your web browser. It is usually what comes after the "http://". For example, WallStreetNewsNetwork.com is a domain name. The interesting thing about these domains, is that they can be very valuable. If you had registered some of the one word domains many years ago, you could sell them for very high prices.

    Many large publicly traded corporations understand this and have been willing to pay extremely large amounts for certain domains. The following is a list of the highest priced domain names and the names of the stocks that purchased them, along with the purchase price:

    fb.com Facebook (FB) $8.5 million
    loans.com Bank of America (BAC) $3 million
    social.com Salesforce.com (CRM) $2.6 million
    mortgage.com Citigroup (C) $1.8 million
    fly.com Travelzoo (TZOO) $1.5 million
    vista.com Vista Print (VPRT) $1.25 million
    mercury.com Hewlett Packard (HPQ) $1.1 million
    sky.com British Sky Broadcasting (BSYBF) $1 million
    o.co Overstock.co (OSTK) $350 thousand
    Sales data came from Domaining.com








    Top Silver Stocks 2014

    Top Silver Stocks 2014 - Below is a list of the best silver stocks to buy in 2014.  Silver has been dropping for years but could the metal rebound in 2014?

    Silver has been in a nasty downtrend since 2011 and as we enter the 4th quarter of 2013, we are seeing signs of a bottom.  If you look at Proshares Silver Bull 2x (AGQ), the ETF bottomed in late June and July.  There was a sharp rebound from $16-$26 in August but now it's back down to $20 again.  AGQ is a great way to play Silver on the way up and ZSL is a great way to play silver if you are bearish.

    Top Silver Stock Pick 2014 - Silver Wheaton Corp. (SLW) - SLW is a silver stock I like below $20.  Buy SLW below $20, sell above $25.

    Top Silver Stocks 2014 - Top Stocks 2014 - Top Penny Stocks 2014




    Blackberry (BBRY) Stock Drops 20% - Cuts 4,500 Jobs

    Blackberry (BBRY) stock dropped 20% after the company slashed guidance and cut 4,500 jobs.

     
     

    Blackberry (BBRY) shares dropped hard on Friday after bearish earnings news and an announcement that the company will layoff 4,500 workers.  BBRY stock dropped 17% during the trading day to $8.73 but and then dropped another 3% after hours.

    Blackberry (BBRY) needs to hold $8.57 on Monday or it could get ugly.  The next major support level to watch is located at $8.14 & $8.

    Also see - Top Stocks 2014 - Top Stock Gainers 2013




    Facebook (FB) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013

    Facebook (FB) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013 -

     
     

    Facebook (FB) stock rallied above $46 on Friday.  Facebook (FB) has been trading in a strong uptrend ever since earnings back in July.  Analysts have been raising Facebook (FB) price targets up between $50-$55 per share.  FB may slowly grind higher toward $47-$48 before earnings but after that anything can happen.  Pullbacks below $40 are a strong buy for the next two months.

    Facebook (FB) will continue to be volatile until the next earnings report.  The company will have to beat earnings and raise guidance again to hold these massive gains.

    Also see - Top Stocks 2014 - Top Stock Gainers 2013




    Yelp (YELP) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013

    Yelp (YELP) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013 -

     
     

    Yelp (YELP) stock continues to break out and hit another all-time high on Friday, $71.50.  YELP is a strong buy stock for the long term because their business is growing rapidly.  YELP will now have resistance around $72-$75.  All major pullbacks are a strong buy going forward.  I have a $190 price target on YELP for the next 3-5 years.  I continue to accumulate a large position in my long term account while trading it in my short term account.  Right now the average in my long term account is $53.56.

    Also see - Top Stocks 2014 - Top Stock Gainers 2013




    Tesla (TSLA) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013

    Tesla Motors (TSLA) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013 -

     
     

    Tesla (TSLA) stock hit a new all time high at $185.83 on Friday.  Tesla (TSLA) is one of the strongest stocks I've seen in awhile and the stock continues to rise.  A lot of the gains are due to future expectations but never bet against such a disruptive company like this or you will lose big-time.  Tesla (TSLA) will have resistance at $200 with support between $155-$160.  TSLA is a strong buy below $150.  Right now I like other smaller companies like YELP & NDLS which have also rallied big recently.

    Also see - Top Stocks 2014 - Top Stock Gainers 2013





    Apple (AAPL) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013

    Apple (AAPL) Stock Analysis 9/23/13 September 23, 2013 -

     
     

    Apple (AAPL) stock hit $480 on Friday but then sold off into the mid $460's into the close.  Now that the iPhone 5s and iPhone 5c launch is behind us, keep an eye out for pre order estimates on Monday.  Wall St. will view any number as bad and the lack of pre order numbers would be horrible.  Apple (AAPL) will now have support at $447 and $440 with resistance at $480.  Apple (AAPL) is no longer a strong buy until a retest of the $430's.  Continue to sell these big rallies and buy back lower.

    I believe Apple (AAPL) will hit $600 before $400 but the recent bearish iPhone news can easily reverse this call.  Now that the iPhone 5s release is history, what is the next catalyst?  I don't see one for awhile.

    Also see - Top Stocks 2014 - Top Stock Gainers 2013




    Mortgage Rates 9/21/13 September 21, 2013

    By Tim - http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com - @stockstobuy -

    Home Mortgage Interest Rates - September 21, 2013

    Interest rates have been rising in September 2013. Below is list of Today's Mortgage Rates from Wells Fargo.

    Loan Type - Interest Rate - APR - 9/21/13

    30-Year Fixed 4.500% 4.673%
    30-Year Fixed FHA 4.250% 5.766%
    15-Year Fixed 3.625% 3.921%
    5-Year ARM 3.250% 3.164%
    5-Year ARM FHA 3.625% 4.074%

    Jumbo Loan Rates - APR - 9/21/13

    30-Year Fixed 4.250% 4.363%
    5-Year ARM 2.625% 2.893%


    Past Rates - Click Here

    For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com

    Friday, 20 September 2013

    To the downside for expiration Friday as the Dow fell 185 points on heavy volume.  The advance/declines were about 3 to 1 negative.  Not exactly sure what to make of todays price action.  There was some Dow re balancing going on along with the quarterly expiration.  We'll see what happens Monday.  The summation index continues to the upside.  The stock indices will have to deal with the threat of a US government shutdown at the beginning of October.  This will probably play out as it always does.  Lots of talk and then a last second deal.  The overall market was stronger than the Dow today and that is bullish moving forward.  Perhaps we'll work off the extreme overbought condition for the market here and then head higher.  That's a guess as usual.  GE was off 1/2 and the volume was good.  The short term indicators have now rolled over here.  Gold got clobbered today as the futures were off over $35.  I found no reasons for the negative price action.  The US dollar was only slightly higher.  The XAU dropped 6 1/4.  ABX down 3/4, GG fell 1 1/3 and NEM off 1 2/3.  Volume was good.  The gold shares have given back all the gains from Wednesday.  That isn't bullish.  My October ABX calls have lost half of their value in 2 sessions.  This looks like another losing trade.  Mentally I'm feeling OK.  So perhaps the second half of September will prove to be weaker.  Hasn't happened yet.  Sometimes the following Monday after expiration we get the opposite of the previous Friday.  That's a clue that the Friday action was simply expiration related.  I'll keep an eye on that.  Plenty overbought on the stock indexes for quite some time.  Certainly a pause is overdue.  After the Fed on Wednesday what other good news is out there?  Gold had a volatile week and will need to turn around next week for the bullish cause to have a chance.  The daily candlestick chart doesn't look good after today.  The inverse head and shoulders pattern is still alive on the weekly ABX candlestick chart.  However we'll need to see some decent upside here soon.  I thought it was going to be this week but the last 2 sessions have canceled out that.  I might just have to bail out of that trade but there are 4 weeks to go.  Plenty to ponder over the last weekend of summer.  For now it's Friday afternoon and time for a break.

    Dow Jones Futures 9/23/13 Stock Market Futures

    By Tim - http://stockstobuy.org - Twitter - @stockstobuy -

    Stock Market Futures for 9/23/13

    The Dow Jones and Stock Market dropped Friday.  Will the stock market go up or down on Monday?  Keep tabs on the stock market futures which will predict the open on Monday. If you invest or trade stocks, check out my stock picks group. We are making some big trades in there right now. Sign in and sign up.

    2013 Biggest Stock Gainers - Click Here

    Stock Market Futures - September 23, 2013

    Dow Jones Futures - Up 20
    S&P 500 Futures - Up 2
    NASDAQ Futures - Up 5
    Gold Futures - 1318
    Silver Futures - 21.43
    Oil Futures - 104.61
    Asian Markets ( Nikkei ) - 14742

    Dow Jones Close 9/20/13 Stock Market Closing Prices

    By Tim - http://stockstobuy.org - Twitter @stockstobuy -

    Stock Market Closing Prices - 9/20/13

    Dow Jones Industrial Average ( DJIA ) Close - 15451.09 Down 185.46
    Nasdaq Stock Market Close - 3774.73 Down 14.65
    S&P 500 Close - 1709.91 Down 12.43

    http://dowjonesclose.com

    Commodities Closing Prices - 9/20/13

    Gold Close - 1332
    Silver Close - 21.90
    Oil Close - 104.79
    Natural Gas Close - 3.69

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 15451 on 9/20/13, as the stock market dropped hard today.  We have seen a massive rise over the last three weeks, so profit taking was expected.   Keep an eye on earnings from RHT Monday tonight.  We will be watching this closely in the stock picks group.

    As of the close today, Widepoint (WYY) is the top penny stock gainer of 2013
    As of the close today, Zhone Technologies (ZHNE) is the top stock gainer of 2013 above $2




    For the latest updates on the stock market, visit, http://daytradingstockblog.blogspot.com/

    The Latest Penny Stock Promotion: This One is Scary!!!

    Every day, I receive dozens of spam emails in some of my varied email accounts. They are usually promoting some stock that trades anywhere from a penny to a dollar, and sometimes even less than a penny!

    They all seem to have the same style, and similar headline like "This one is on the move" or "This stock will make you rich." Most (if not all) of these seem to be pump-and-dump schemes.
    However, I just received a new one today, that kind of scares me. Check it out. The subject line in the email is:

    My new pick could literally DOUBLE YOUR MONEY OR MORE!
     

    OK, now read the content of the message:

    Apple (Nasdaq:A-A-P-L) has shown its latter-day iPhone 5S and iPhone 5C, which have not affected the investors. Nevertheless, we got to hear about a secret newly-designed product, which is developed in Cupertino (the Headquarter of Apple). Everyone will have interest in this newcomer (throughout a year, it will be put in use by all the people). Today, it's high time to get hold of the Apple's stocks. These securities will go up in price very soon.
    Has Apple (AAPL) fallen to the level (figuratively) of a penny stock and a pump-and-dump?


    Disclosure: Author owns AAPL.